blank'/> Liberally Lean From The Land Of Dairy Queen: 10,000?

9.02.2005

10,000?

"US Senator David Vitter said that the death toll from Hurricane Katrina could top 10,000 in Louisiana alone. 'My guess is that it will start at 10,000, but that is only a guess,' Vitter said, adding that he was not basing his remarks on any official death toll or body count."

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

It's going to be over 70,000 and that is conservative. You don't realize how many dead people they are going to find in their attics.

Anonymous said...

How can anyone make a guess of 10,000 or 70,000. we just don't know.

Anonymous said...

Here's how. A professor from LSU has studies this and from estimates there are about 250,000 to 300,000 people that stayed in N.O. Using his computer models he estimated that 1/3 of those drowned. You can do the math. This only includes N.O., not Miss. or other parts of La. And this is just drownings.

Anonymous said...

How does a professor know who drown and where? The water level was higher in some parts of the city than others.

Your right I can do math. It's projecting facts with out an statistical sample being taken that doesn't make sense.

If they had gone into a neighborhood and done a survey and extrapolated from there, then we might have something accurate.

Do you have a website that supports (and explains) the process of the projection?

Anonymous said...

They have models with elevations and density of people throughout the city. You get the storm surge in feet that each area got and you have an idea of how many drowned. No, I don't have a web site. The professor was on CNN on Wednesday. I have heard the number being talked about by FEMA is higher.

Condoleesa said...

I don't think it will be anywhere near that high. I think there are less than 3K dead but it is gonna be hard to tell because of decomposition of the bodies and some of them will probably never be found. Some washed out to see. Then again the mausoleums burst open and some of the corpses have already had a funeral once. This thing is bad but I don't think we lost that much human life.

Anonymous said...

The only way to tell is to use actual logic. If there were approx. 1.5 million people in New Orleans before the storm hit- 1.2 million evacuated. That leaves approx. 300,000 stranded people. 20,000 were in the Super Dome.
That leaves 280,000. Those souls were moved to Houston-out of New Orleans.. More began to compact the civic center-as of 10:05 pm today (9/2), there was an estimated 13,000 in the civic center. That leaves 267k left. 3,000 students were evacuated, and approx. 3,000 remain sleeping on the highway. That is 261k approx. of course. Either way there is between 100-250k people still left in the city. Some will make there way hopefully to help, others will perish. Given that this happened Monday morning and, you might as well say it is Saturday now-chances are pretty bad for a lot of survival-unless these people are able to find potable water (raiding more Wal-Marts), and finding a supply of food/shelter and protection from those crazies on the streets. I would have to say 3,000 peopleis an extremely low estimate. God willing everything goes ok, a conservative number would have to be at least 70k by next Thursday. Remember a person can only last so long without food, water. We can go without a shelter and even protection-but you need food/water to survive. It is estimated that only 2,000 citizens out in the city have actually been given aide this week-the rest of the aide was given at the Super Dome. So, you do the math.

Anon 70,000 said...

The above post was not made by me, the original 70,000 estimator. People do not conceive what is going on down there. I had an in-law who is probably dead in his attic because he wanted to ride it out. This is the most horrendous catastrophe that has ever happened on U.S. soil. We also have cholera and amoebic dysentery to worry about. I'm worried that they will bring it to Texas and then... well, you know what happens then.

Anonymous said...

I just talked to a FEMA official. The low is 40,000 and the high is 120,000.

Anonymous said...

Well, I guess that confirms my rough guesstimation.. Here is the article Anon #3 was referring to:

http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/09/02/levee.criticism.reut/index.html

Anonymous said...

http://www.cnn.com/2005/
WEATHER/09/02/levee.
criticism.reut/index.html

Anonymous said...

According to the AP, there are approx. 500 dead on the second floor of the convention center. (Source: AP) a CNN reporter also said on-air that from what he heard, there are approx. 2 deaths every hour in the convention center along-either by murder/rape or by starvation, or sickness. Kind of ironic, the place they go to get out of the mess winds up being the MESS.

Anonymous said...

ya'll aren't supposed to know this. the reason there are no people with guns roaming the streets of New Orleans is because they brought in a team of snipers to shoot them. If it would have been regular State Guard or others it would have been made public and the race card would have been brought up. There are a lot of things going on we don't know about. Pray for those still in their attics. It will be days before they can inspect every house.

Anonymous said...

Sure I bet..... And where did you get this information? Let me guess, your friend-who is a friend of a friend who works for FEMA or something..

Anonymous said...

No. I got it from the father of a DEA sniper who did it. Don't ask me why DEA because I don't know. he got two. There were other agency snipers in there. Believe it or not.

Anonymous said...

I chose not.

Part of the problem with this whole mess is you got people spreading rumors and lies. You have one news station saying people haven't eaten for days at the convention center and you turn the channel and it shows them passing out food at the convention center.

Anonymous said...

Maybe because they broke into the Convention Center to stay that's why they didn't have anything to eat. It wasn't a refugee center. They didn't have food because they weren't supposed to be there. Until officials brought them food, they hadn't eaten. And it's a total coincidence that the thugs' sniping stopped Thursday night, right? Thugs don't have night vision. Do you also believe the reports that NOPD took out thugs on a bridge today?